Looking for some insight and debate about Scottish football? Don't get your hopes up. If you want to hear from a cynical, whinging Caley Thistle fan, on the other hand, you're in luck...
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Friday, July 29, 2022
2022-23 Premiership preview
Wednesday, July 27, 2022
2022-23 Championship preview
Here we go then. The Scottish Championship is my bread and butter, by which I mean that I make the same blunders as in all the other previews but with much more confidence. Allegations that I predicted Arbroath to finish bottom last season and Dunfermline to make the playoffs (no,not those playoffs) are absolutely outrageous and completely true.
In recent times this division has tended to be dominated by a single club who clearly have more cash to throw at the squad. Out of the last eight champions, only St. Mirren didn't have cash to burn (or to throw at Charlie Adam and Jason Cummings, which is essentially the same thing).
Whilst Dundee are the wealthiest team in the division this time around, thanks to their generous yet hapless American owners, the lack of reinforcement so far this summer suggests that there will be no poundshop galacticos coming to Dens Park - sorry, Leigh - which may not be a bad thing. The squad that was relegated is probably strong enough to win the title anyway, especially if striker Alex Jakubiak can finally stay fit for more than five minutes. A little more depth would be helpful and there are question marks over all three goalkeepers but most crucially they have brought in a manager, Gary Bowyer, whose CV screams 'competent'. And that in itself is enough to make them clear favourites.
I am always wary of cursing Inverness Caledonian Thistle with any positivity that might encourage the universe to crush me or them in revenge. But ICT were 45 Perth minutes away from promotion in May - now let's never speak of that second half again, please - and whilst they lost Kirk Broadfoot (who was heading for the knacker's yard anyway) and quality loan players Reece McAlear and Logan Chalmers they have kept the rest of the squad together. George Oakley should be a competent striker at this level and I'm excited by Daniel Mackay's return on loan. They should be there or thereabouts, particularly if Oakley, Billy Mckay or Austin Samuels proves a consistent source of goals.
Should Arbroath be in the conversation too? After all, only two of their best XI at the end of last season - Chris Hamilton and Jack Hamilton - are away. And their League Cup performances suggest there's no hangover from last season. That said it is always asking a lot of a part-time side to sustain such a high level for so long, and some sort of drop-off seems inevitable. But should Dick Campbell procure some super-talented loan signings, as he often has done in the past, they could cause havoc once again. Last season proved we should never be fooled into underestimating them; they have several players - Tam O'Brien, Ricky Little and Nicky Low are the ones that stand out to me - who could play for a full-time team if they wished but instead choose to supplant their day jobs with a generous part-time football income.
The last of the promotion playoff sides from last year, Partick Thistle have fairly overhauled their squad with ten new signings and many departures. Ian McCall is determined to relieve the goalscoring burden on veteran Brian Graham, bringing in forwards Danny Mullen, Anton Dowds and Tony Weston. They'll need Weston and midfielder Cole McKinnon to contribute far more than last season's Rangers loanee Juan Alegria did. Bringing back Steven Lawless looks smart too. If there's a question mark it's over the defence; Jack McMillan is a good signing but if Harry Milne can't make the step up from Cove then there's not a lot of alternatives, especially as Kevin Holt's future seems to be at centre-back. I suspect McCall isn't finished wheeling and dealing yet.
Aside from winning the Challenge Cup, Raith Rovers had a pretty dreadful first half of 2022 and the time was probably right to part ways with John McGlynn. Ian Murray is the new boss but his few signings so far have been from League One (Scott Brown, Dylan Easton) or Scunthorpe (Ross Millen). Options are a bit limited just now; Tom Lang, Ross Matthews, Brad Spencer and Lewis Vaughan all miss the start of the season with injury, whilst He Who Must Not Be Named is still technically on the books but will never play for the club. Starting the season with Christophe Berra as the only fit senior centre-back no senior centre-backs after Christophe Berra suddenly retired this week, and with Jamie Gullan as the only fit senior striker, is not a good situation. Can Murray hold out until the treatment room clears or does he have to hit the market? It feels like a transitional year for them.
Rovers aren't the only club short of numbers; Dougie Imrie's first team lines for the League Cup had all of one sub due to injuries and suspensions and he made it clear that he wasn't expecting to get any more funds for his Greenock Morton squad. Morton improved dramatically under Imrie in the second half of last season but were unable to convince keeper Jack Hamilton or forwards Gary Oliver and Gozie Ugwu to sign new deals. Lewis Strapp did decide to stay on and Darragh O'Connor and Jack Baird will replace departed loanees Oisin McEntee and Jason Brandon but there is going to be a huge emphasis on youth and on temporary transfers - if goalie Brian Schwake (who was excellent for FC Edinburgh last season in League Two) and striker Jaze Kabia struggle then so will they.
There's also plenty of room for additions to the Cove Rangers dressing room. The squad hasn't been strengthened much following promotion with only teenage Aberdeen defender Evan Towler coming in on loan and English non-league attacker Gerry McDonagh joining permanently. Manager Paul Hartley left for Hartlepool and replacement Jim McIntyre looks like he has work to do to get the team ready for the step up. We'll soon find out if veterans Mark Reynolds, Shay Logan and Iain Vigurs still have the legs for this level and whether Mitch Megginson and Fraser Fyvie can light up the Championship like they did the lower divisions. Expect lots of newcomers in the next few weeks and only then can we properly gauge Cove's prospects.
Queen's Park actually finished three places below Cove in League One last season before coming up through the playoffs, yet it could be argued that the Spiders' trajectory is the one pointing upwards. Bringing in Owen Coyle was a sign of their ambition and they have been ruthless in moving on all but the best players from the promotion-winning squad. The arrivals of Josh McPake (on loan) and Dom Thomas should make them dangerous going forward, though they may need Simon Murray to rewind the clock a few years if they are to score enough goals. If this young squad clicks, their first campaign at this level in 39 years could be an exciting one.
1. DUNDEE
2. INVERNESS CALEDONIAN THISTLE
3. PARTICK THISTLE
4. ARBROATH
5. QUEEN'S PARK
6. RAITH ROVERS
7. COVE RANGERS
8. GREENOCK MORTON
9. AYR UNITED
10. HAMILTON ACADEMICAL
I'm pretty comfortable with my top four. I have absolutely no idea how to rank the other six. I worry that Accies are dysfunctional, Ayr are just not very good and Morton are broke, so they are my bottom three. But Cove seem unsure whether to spend what is required to take them to the next level, Queen's Park have a 'boom/bust' feel to them and it'll be tough to evaluate where Raith Rovers are at until the window is closed.
And here's what the universe thought when I asked their opinion:
Dundee to win it, ICT partick fighting for second, QP and Arbroath scrapping for 4th, accies down as fuck and the rest to fight it out to not finish 9th
— Jake 🇨🇷 (@JakeTS_) July 26, 2022
I would say whilst it will be very competitive legaue , I still think there are quite a few poor teams
— Greg Browning (@Browning84Greg) July 26, 2022
Dundee / ICT / Thistle / Raith to occupy the top 4
Raith going under the radar a little bit
Hopefully top 4 for Arbroath again 🤞🏻 very much dependant on loan signings. But could say that about every team in the league. Solid start in the LC groups. Would take finishing 8th or above!
— Boyd Adams (@boydadams1985) July 26, 2022
Dundee & Partick Thistle the only ones to go for the title. Morton & Ayr to battle for relegation. Arbroath 3rd. Accies and Cove to have a 4-4 game with 3 red cards. Inverness 4th. Queens park and raith just making up the numbers
— Cammy Hutton (@fatpirlo) July 26, 2022
Usual tight contest, PT teams in the league are very good and will have a big influence on who eventually tops the league. Dundee from a financial perspective should win it however not seen much recruitment from them. Thistle, ICT, Dundee should be in top 4 other place is anyones
— john Vincent Kane (@johnvincentkane) July 26, 2022
Caley Thistle to win the league, Partick, Dundee and Arbroath for the remaining playoff spots. Raith just missing out.
— Andi Jamieson (@andijam82) July 26, 2022
Dundee win league in a competent manner. The two Jags will be clear in playoffs. Final playoff spot who gets best injury free run. Accies to go straight down, Ayr in the playoffs.
— Robbie Weir (@rw2711) July 26, 2022
Caley win the league, Dundee just 4-5 points behind. Partick and cove in a comfortable 3rd and 4th. Morton and Raith in a relagation battle through the final 3 months. Caleys only challenges are Partick, Dundee and cove so as long as we don't get too many injuries we will be fine
— Gingy1745 (@MaccallumEuan) July 26, 2022
Inverness win with Dundee with a close 2nd. Partick 3rd, and Cove a wildcard 4th, rest of the league dgaf, Queens taking a straight plummet down and Morton in the relegation playoffs
— Jack Waddington (@Jack_Wad_V2) July 26, 2022
Dundee Win League :)
— Lewis Banks (@LewisBanks03) July 26, 2022
1. Thistle
— Robbie MacKenzie (@Robbie_MacK2) July 27, 2022
2. Dundee
3. ICT
4. Raith
5. Cove
6. Arbroath
7. Queen’s Park
8. Hamilton
9. Morton
10. Ayr
Thistle and Caley to battle it out for the league. Raith to pip Arbroath to 3rd. Dundee 5th. Cove and Ayr to finish bottom 2, very close.
— Alan Johnson (@AlanJoh35272905) July 27, 2022
Let's see how it pans out...
Lawrie Spence has whinged about Scottish football on Narey's Toepoker since September 2007. He has a life outside this blog. Honestly.
Tuesday, July 26, 2022
2022-23 League One preview
As someone with a wicked sense of humour and a deep love of schadenfreude, League One will doubtless bring me lots of joy every season as long as my own team aren't stuck in it. It's a beautiful combination of full-time clubs who feel the seaside leagues are beneath them - and whose players too often play as if they feel the same - and part-time sides who range from battle-hardened, dangerous units to a complete omnishambles (sometimes both in the same season) with everything in between.
It seems fair to begin with Falkirk, who seem to have Mr Burns' 'You're Stuck Here Forever' demotivational plaque and are onto their gazillionth manager since they crashed down here just over three years ago. The thing is, this time said supremo is John McGlynn, whose wonderful achievements at Raith Rovers included getting them out of this hellhole. It's hard to believe he can't at least make this motley crew the sum of their parts, which in itself would probably be enough to win the division. It just seems mad that players like Coll Donaldson, Paul Watson, Stephen McGinn, Kai Kennedy, Callumn Morrison, Aidan Nesbitt and Gary Oliver are here instead of in the Championship. The trouble will come if they feel the same way, particularly after a scudding or two.
Dunfermline Athletic are the other big fish in this particular rockpool after a catastrophic relegation. They too have a new manager in James McPake, who I didn't rate at all at Dundee. He has so far mostly stuck with the bunch that went down, either believing he can bring them back to form or because they're all on contracts the club can't get shot of. Again, there are lots of names that on past history belong in the second tier; Aaron Comrie, Graham Dorrans, Chris Hamilton, Kevin O'Hara, Craig Wighton, Nikolay Todorov. You'd think they'll be challengers, but the last time they were relegated to League One we thought the same, and they were stuck for three years until they got the right man in the dugout. Time will tell if they've managed that already.
Also coming down from the Championship are Queen of the South who didn't really improve much after Wullie Gibson took over from Allan Johnston. Perhaps Gibson deserves a Mulligan now that the veteran player-boss has a chance to mould his own squad. Improving the defence with Stuart Morrison, Ciaran McKenna and David McKay is a good start; bringing back Iain Wilson, Gavin Reilly and Connor Murray was also impressive; but the icing on the cake is the retention of striker Lee Connelly. They are giving this a good go, not least because it's hard to see them being able to remain full-time if they're stuck down here for multiple seasons.
The last of the full-time (-ish in this case, as they have a bit of a hybrid scheme going on) clubs, Airdrie have had a tumultuous summer with manager Ian Murray leaving for Kirkcaldy and taking star attacker Dylan Easton with him. At the time of writing the club have a tiny squad which includes player-boss Rhys McCabe (only 31 years old!) and his assistant, centre-back Calum Fordyce (age 30!). It's hard to see them repeating last year's second place finish unless McCabe is the next Alex Neil and he gets to sign a platoon of new players by the end of August.
Of the part-timers, Montrose have been the most consistently impressive in the division in recent years with a string of promotion playoff appearances on the back of a remarkably settled squad and a miracle-worker coach (Stewart Petrie) who doesn't want to give up a lucrative day job to manage at a full-time side. That said, the Gable Endies have brought in minimal reinforcements whilst also losing both Cammy Ballantynes (yes, there were two). There's still plenty of quality though which should stop them slipping too far back.
They might be usurped by the upstarts from Kelty Hearts though. Kelty breezed through League Two at the first attempt and have aspirations to emulate Cove Rangers. They should be competitive at this level from the word go with a decent sized budget that has allowed them to field the likes of Jamie Barjonas, Michael Tidser, Joe Cardle and Nathan Austin among others. Kevin Thomson's decision to leave in the summer wasn't ideal but they have high hopes for replacement boss John Potter. Can they immediately challenge at the right end?
Alloa Athletic also fancy they can get in the promotion playoffs, having improved immeasurably after replacing Barry Ferguson with Brian Rice in the dugout. They'll be relying more on Rice's acumen and improving the squad they've got than on making lots of signings but an attack with Ross MacIver and Connor Sammon should score plenty and immortal defender Andy Graham is still there along with other longstanding players such as Scott Taggart, Kevin Cawley and Jon Robertson. It'll be weird without Alan Trouten though.
As for those perhaps more worried about the drop, FC Edinburgh are obvious candidates given they came fourth in League Two last season before fighting their way through the playoffs. They were much more impressive after Alan Maybury took charge in the spring and have strengthened with the signings of veteran Liam Fontaine and full-back Kieran MacDonald (a regular with Raith and Hamilton the last few seasons) as well as signing Innes Murray permanently. Whether that'll be sufficient to enable them to make the step up is another matter. And the less said about the godawful name change the better...
There's not a lot of optimism to be found at Clyde who of course no longer have He Who Must Not Be Named scoring shedloads and masking their deficiencies, and who are now playing at New Douglas Park after getting ejected from Cumbernauld. There's been a clearout - including a number of players who declined new deals - and Danny Lennon somehow has to mould a new team without being able to take them to an island for five years first. Holding onto keeper Neil Parry, midfielder Barry Cuddihy and forward Ross Cunningham helps but it could be a tough first campaign as Hamilton's tenants.
But the most dire situation is in the Blue Toon; Peterhead were so short of numbers for the League Cup games that they drafted in players from the local non-leagues (I'd never even heard of Banchory St. Ternan or Rattray XI) to make up numbers. Geography is a big issue, and they cannot compete with Cove Rangers for the best local part-time players. If there is hope, it is in the return of Ryan Dow to the club and the permanent signing of impressive loanee Danny Strachan. But Jim McInally may not have faced a bigger challenge in his decade at Balmoor than keeping them up this season.
So here's the inevitably wrong predicted table...
1. FALKIRK
2. DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC
3. QUEEN OF THE SOUTH
4. KELTY HEARTS
5. ALLOA ATHLETIC
6. MONTROSE
7. AIRDRIEONIANS
8. FC EDINBURGH
9. CLYDE
10. PETERHEAD
And the Twitter takes on the season ahead:
Montrose to win it Dunfermline and QOTS to fight relegation.
— Robert (@Robert85733781) July 24, 2022
Dunfermline to win the league and straight out scrap for bottom between FC Edinburgh and Peterhead
— BlueBrazilianToffee (@BrazilianblueT) July 24, 2022
Wide open at the top Dunfermline, Airdrie & QOS for the top spot.
— David Hamilton (@dwham22) July 24, 2022
League of 3 parts, Falkirk, QoS, Dunfermline, Airdrie going for gold.
— Retep (@pjah80) July 24, 2022
Alloa, Kelty, Montrose for the best of the rest.
FC Edinburgh, Peterhead, Clyde in the dog fight.
I think airdrie are weaker than last season and will probably be more in the middle group of teams, apart from that hard to argue at this stage.
— Alastair Cameron (@Bully_Wee_Al) July 24, 2022
1. Anyone of 7.
— Coatbridge Chancellor (@CCNo8GA) July 24, 2022
2 Clyde. Peterhead/Edinburgh fight for 8th.
Falkirk my favs to go up
— Stephen (@Stephen88888889) July 24, 2022
Airdrie and Dunfermline likely challengers
Was at QOS when Annan beat them and would have had them favs for relegation on that performance however seem to have picked up a bit
Montrose too good to go down so I worry for FC Edinburgh
Falkirk & Dunfermline will be top too. John McGlynn is the best of business Falkirk have done in years. Fancy them to pip the Pars to 1st. Clyde to finish 10th. Edinburgh have giving a good account of themselves against Arbroath & St Mirren. Fancy us to stay up. Peterhead for 9th
— Lewis Mitchell (@LewisGMitchell) July 24, 2022
QoS up heed doon
— Dan (@Dan0li0) July 24, 2022
I think Peterhead are in massive trouble unless the can bring in some quality in the coming weeks.
— Arron Myles (@ArronnMyless) July 24, 2022
FC Edinburgh could be in trouble too.
Fancy Dunfermline for the league though.
Falkirk to finally get their act together, FC Edinburgh back to whence they came
— Alex Marr (@alexmarr98) July 24, 2022
Falkirk are going to have to pull their thumbs out their arses at some point. Kelty still flush with cash. Dunfermline, who knows. QOTS I’ve no idea… and Airdrie will hang about like a bad smell.
— KRD (@KGOD1995) July 24, 2022
Straight fight between Falkirk and Dunfermline but I think McGlynn’s experience will get Falkirk through it. Queens and Alloa to make up the play offs. Montrose, airdrie and Kelty middle 3 a good bit ahead of us(Clyde), Peterhead and Edinburgh. Peterhead to be bottom
— Alex Murray (@Alex_Murray92) July 24, 2022
My completely uninformed opinion:
— Tom Pearson (@tom7p) July 24, 2022
Promotion between Kelty, Falkirk, Alloa, Dunfermline.
Kelty champions.
Relegation contenders: Edinburgh FC, Clyde, Airdrie.
Borderline pin the tail on the donkey.
Peterhead look a certain to go down unless they get in a bunch of players. Could see it coming right down to the wire with Dunfermline and Falkirk but will go with Dunfermline to just get it. Kelty could be in trouble though. Definitly not been impressed with them in league cup.
— Cammy Hutton (@fatpirlo) July 24, 2022
Champions from Bairns, Pars and QoS. Then Montrose, Kelty and Airdrie - and Alloa if we can find a goalscorer - battling for 4th. Edinburgh, Clyde and Blue Toon in relegation scrap.
— Donald Pollock (@DonaldPollock3) July 24, 2022
as a dunfermline supporter as it stands today we have no chance of winning the league, I'd say between 4-6. Falkirk or Queens to win it just based on decent size squads.
— Colin (@Colin83334245) July 24, 2022
Falkirk, Dunfermline, Airdrie , Queen of the South, Alloa for top 4.
— Douglas Reid (@douglasreid28) July 24, 2022
Edinburgh and Peterhead for the drop.
Wide open. Any 1 from 7. Bairns, dafc, qos, airdrie, Alloa, mo & kelty.
— jay (@jay87174138) July 24, 2022
Falkirk
— Lubo___ (@LouisOC94532880) July 24, 2022
Dunfermline
QOTS
Kelty
Montrose
Airdrie
Alloa
Clyde
Peterhead
Edinburgh
The consensus around the group seems to be one of Dunfermline or Falkirk to win the title, then a very mixed bag in behind with the only constant being Clyde, Edinburgh and Peterhead to struggle.
— That's Never 10 Yards (@TN10Y) July 24, 2022
Falkirk finally have a manager who knows how to get out of league 1. Between them and dunfermline for the league but both could go up as bottom of the championship isnt great
— Chris Rex (@RexieCJ) July 24, 2022
Lawrie Spence has whinged about Scottish football on Narey's Toepoker since September 2007. He has a life outside this blog. Honestly.
Sunday, July 24, 2022
2022-23 League Two preview
Forfar to win the league and Elgin to finish bottom
— BlueBrazilianToffee (@BrazilianblueT) July 22, 2022
Annan or Stenhousemuir for the title. Elgin to finish bottom. Bonnyrigg to take a respectable 8th place in their maiden season.
— oneteaminglasgow (@oneteaminglasg1) July 22, 2022
I’ve based this on absolutely nothing.
Annan to win the league on goal difference. Elgin to go up in the playoffs. Stirling Albion to go down
— lewis (@lemitchebsk) July 22, 2022
I expect Stenhousemuir and Annan to do well and I think Albion Rovers will finish bottom with Elgin in 9th place.
— Andy D (@AndyD1867) July 22, 2022
Annan to win it. Bonnyrigg up via playoff. East Fife doom
— Fitbawbag (@GilesGraeme) July 22, 2022
Forfar look settled. They'll be up there with Stenny and maybe Annan. Rovers will be in the dogfight but hopefully stay up, Bonnyrigg might struggle and Stirling or East Fife could get dragged in.
— Coatbridge Chancellor (@CCNo8GA) July 22, 2022
Annan to win it and Stranraer to finish bottom
— Alex Murray (@Alex_Murray92) July 22, 2022
Annan & Stenny look like they'll be up there. Bonnyrigg have started well think it will between them. Elgin might be relying on Kane Hester goals, Albion lost a few good players. Would imagine a lot will change over the next few weeks when loan players become available
— Lewis Mitchell (@LewisGMitchell) July 22, 2022
If Annan keep it up, they’ll win. Certainly overdue a promotion. I expect Stenny to be up there and the past two years form show Bonnyrigg will have a decent chance. Stranraer seem to be the long-standing league club whose time is up.
— Richard Wilson (@HYFPRW) July 22, 2022
I wish I could say Forfar will win the league but we just won’t, don’t look anywhere near good enough, think it could be Annan or Stirling this season to win the league.
— Arron Myles (@ArronnMyless) July 22, 2022
Think this could be time for Albion Rovers to face the trap door.
Agree Annan have started off so well...time will tell...East Fife have strengthened. Stenhousemuir keep key players..and of course forfar..always there..new boys Bonnyrigg will cause some upsets but maybe next year for them..
— Scott James McMartin (@ScottyL177) July 22, 2022
Annan look good and may well win the division. The business Stenny have done is good too. Could be a tough season for Albion Rovers tho. I think it will be a great division this year. First time in 4 seasons there hasn't been a team way ahead of the rest and nailed on to win it.
— Chris Rex (@RexieCJ) July 23, 2022
Let's see who's right, me or the folk who clearly know this division a whole lot better!
Lawrie Spence has whinged about Scottish football on Narey's Toepoker since September 2007. He has a life outside this blog. Honestly.