2025/26 Scottish Championship preview

 Ah, the mad, bad Scottish Championship, a place where teams who think they're too good for this level quickly learn to show respect after they've been scudded at Gayfield. There's a reason why clubs looking to get promoted fill their squad with players who are known to be good at this level, rather than ones who they think can do a job in the top flight.

Thus ROSS COUNTY followed their relegation by quickly moving for Declan Gallagher and Ross Docherty, who formed the backbone of the Dundee United side that won the division in 2023/24, and Arran Lyall who was a decent winger for Morton last year. The two clear issues for County are up front - they will be a completely different proposition if/when talented striker Ronan Hale goes - and in the dugout, as Don Cowie is somewhat fortunate to still be in a job after the collapse at the end of last season. There's a clear move away from a back three to a team with wingers, and that midfield with Docherty and new signings Dean Cornelius, Jamie Lindsay and Adam Emslie looks suave, but an ageing Nicky Clark will not replace Hale's goals and Cowie better have learned some lessons.

ST. JOHNSTONE's 'Championship experience signings' were more for depth - Morton centre-backs Jack Baird and Morgan Boyes, Accies full-back Reghan Tumilty, Raith forward Jamie Gullan - but it's their subsequent moves for Exeter defender Cheick Diabate and midfielders Reece McAlear from Livi and Stevie Mallan (who has been out of football with injury for 18 months) that catch the eye. Even if Uche Ikpeazu chooses to leave they will still be dangerous up top with Makenzie Kirk and Adama Sidibeh. Simo Valakari's tactics should, in theory, work better now they're expected to be on the front foot.

As the best of the rest last time out, AYR UNITED will have designs on another promotion battle. Their most crucial signing may be Kevin Holt, who adds some nous and experience to the defence. Dom Thomas looks like a super acquistion too, and it'll be interesting to see how young Celtic loan duo Jude Bonnar and Kyle Ure do. They still have their choice of George Oakley, Curtis Main and (when fit again) Anton Dowds up top, but you feel like the team as a whole are still a level below the duo that have been relegated into this division.

PARTICK THISTLE also made the playoffs last term but they've had a tumultuous off-season with budget cuts and a bit of a mess regarding appointing a new manager; Captain and talisman Brian Graham turned down the job and then left for Falkirk after they gave it to Mark Wilson. Wilson's managerial CV doesn't fill one with optimism and whilst Thistle still have Logan Chalmers and Robbie Crawford to provide creativity and a solid defence marshalled by Lee Ashcroft and Daniel O'Reilly, they have only one senior striker in veteran Tony Watt. Young midfielder Ts'oanelo Lets'osa might be a wildcard though after returning to Scotland from Belgium.

RAITH ROVERS came fifth in 2024/25 after a late charge following Barry Robson's appointment as manager. Rebuffing a six-figure bid from rivals Dunfermline for star man Dylan Easton keeps the supporters sweet but only wing-back Jai Rowe and winger Paul McMullan (who doesn't really fit into their three-at-the-back system) look like reinforcements. Lewis Vaughan's fitness will always be key to their success, though Jack Hamilton is a solid alternative. Their season may depend on whether Paul Hanlon and Lewis Stevenson can keep defying Father Time, and whether a proposed co-op agreement with Rangers works out for them.

Eventually, Dougie Imrie's tactics will go stale, or for some other reason GREENOCK MORTON will slide away from mid-table. That's not to say it'll be this season though. It's not exactly ideal that they lost Baird, Boyes, Lyall or quality keeper Ryan Mullen, but they've picked up a new keeper in Jmaes Storer and defenders Kris Moore  and Sonny Hart from down south. Crucially, they've kept Tomi Adeloye who will be good for goals as long as he doesn't get injured. All in all, Morton should be able to scrap sufficiently to avoid relegation again, but that seems to be their ceiling.

DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC have far higher aspirations now that Neil Lennon is in charge. Having failed with their wild attempt to sign Easton, they have instead boosted their midfield with Charlie Gilmour from Inverness and the exciting Alfons Amade, who is a Mozambique international who previously played for Germany's under-20s. Rory MacLeod, who is still a teenager, feels like a high risk, high reward capture from Dundee United to compete with the oft-injured Chris Kane up top, and the emergence of brothers John and Andrew Tod (sons of Pars legend Andy) is fun to see. Remember the name Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen though; this is a central defender who should already be playing at a higher level.

QUEEN'S PARK stank the place out in the last few months of last season and would surely have been relegated via the playoffs had Hamilton Accies not had their points deduction. They've had a nightmare offseason with massive cuts to their budget and a move to the woefully inadequate Lesser Hampden ground, so good luck to rookie manager Sean Crichton. If there is hope it is in the shape of Josh Fowler, their new forward who has joined from Dubai City (!) and was banging them in during the League Cup games. Most of their more talented and more experienced players have exited though and a squad mix of a few veterans, a lot of raw youths and some former Dumbarton players is likely to struggle...especially if the stuff off the park gets worse, as it may well do.

If the Spiders were lucky to stay up, AIRDRIEONIANS were even luckier; the problems at Hamilton gave them a reprieve via the relegation playoffs and they need to try and build on that despite the loss of captain Adam Frizzell and striker Ben Wilson. However many of the new faces have a feel of being good League One players rather than Championship-quality, with ex-Accies trio Jamie Barjonas, Euan Henderson and Sean McGinty being particular examples. Up front they currently depend on converted midfielder Chris Mochrie to lead the line, and could really do with a decent striker as an alternative.

And finally there's ARBROATH, the sole part-time team who, despite their recent history at this level, have to be tipped to be closer to the bottom than the top. They look pretty solid though, with Aaron Muirhead joining permanently after a loan spell to partner Tam O'Brien at the back and Harry Cochrane and Ross Callachan added to the midfield. They still look light up top though, as whichever of Gavin Reilly, Calum Gallagher and Nikolay Todorov starts up front is not likely to score many. It's worth noting that their best players of the second half of their promotion campaign were loanees Fraser Taylor and Sam Stanton, and they are of course gone.

So here's my (inevitably wrong) predicted table:

1. ST. JOHNSTONE

2. ROSS COUNTY

3. DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC

4. AYR UNITED

5. RAITH ROVERS

6. GREENOCK MORTON

7. PARTICK THISTLE

8. AIRDRIEONIANS

9. ARBROATH

10. QUEEN'S PARK

Lawrie Spence has whinged about Scottish football on Narey's Toepoker since September 2007. He has a life outside this blog. Honestly.

2025/26 Scottish League One preview

 For my annual League One reviews, I've tended to assume that full-time sides (the ones that are not financial basket-cases) are likely to beat out part-time ones over the course of a whole season. Of course Arbroath put that particular theory to shame last season, but I'm not going to let a small thing like that stop me.

Of this season's four full-time League One teams, INVERNESS CALEDONIAN THISTLE are the bookies' favourites but start with a five point deduction courtesy of last season's administration adventure. Five points isn't a huge amount, but it's the equivalent of nearly two wins and may make this tougher than many think. Caley Thistle have also lost loanee striker Alfie Bavidge plus excellent keeper Musa Dibaga and midfielder Charlie Gilmour, though they've replaced the latter two adequately with Ross Munro and Joe Chalmers respectively. They also did well to retain Paul Allan and get Alfie Stewart back on loan. They unquestionably have the best midfield in the division and wingers Luis Longstaff and Liam Sole could have big years; however at the moment their starting attackers are Billy McKay (36) and David Wotherspoon (35). A new striker (or a Bavidge return) is required if they really are going to be the team to beat.

QUEEN OF THE SOUTH finished last season strongly and so boss Peter Murphy has largely chosen to run it back, signing three loan players permanently. Jordan Allan and new striker Kurtis Guthrie (who played for Livingston in the top flight a few years back) should be a threatening pair and mitigate the exit of Adam Brooks. They've also used the loan market well to get St. Mirren defender Callum Penman and exciting Killie midfielder Cole Burke, while Kai Kennedy is hugely talented if he can stay fit. This looks like the best squad the Doonhamers have had in the last few seasons and could take them far.

In contrast, COVE RANGERS went down a rebuild route; Paul Hartley has lost a number of players, including goalie Nick Suman and club legend Connor Scully, and is operating a very streamlined squad at the time of writing. There is plenty of quality in striker Mitch Megginson and midfielders Fraser Fyvie and Declan Glass but new keeper Robbie Mutch will be a downgrade from the terrific Suman (who joined Aberdeen) and the lack of depth - and, surprisingly, the lack of loan signings so far - will be a concern unless Hartley is very busy in the market in the next month.

And then we come to the aforementioned basket-case. HAMILTON ACADEMICAL were relegated after a points deduction and now, having had to move to Cumbernauld for the season, they have been hit with a transfer embargo until next summer as well. Whilst they held on to a pretty solid core - including forwards Oli Shaw and Scott Robinson and midfielders Barry Maguire and Steven Bradley - they seem to only have around 13 senior players; just to add to the chaos, at least two veterans who had been kept on to join the coaching staff apparently can't be re-registered as players due to the embargo. They feel like the obvious answer to the question "Which Scottish club is most likely to end up in administration this season?".

Which of the part-time clubs could emulate Arbroath's success? I'm not sure any jump out for me. PETERHEAD could well carry momentum from their League Two title triumph; guys like Craig McGuffie, Peter Pawlett and Cammy Smith have been round the block and Oliver Colloty really impressed up front after joining mid-season. Jack Newman should be a good signing in goal, though I'm not sure veteran forward Niall McGinn has much left to offer. It'll be strange seeing them without Rory McAllister up front though.

The other promoted side, EAST FIFE, have only made one new signing at the time of writing - Lewis Latona on loan from Livingston - and it'll be a huge ask for 39 year old forward Alan Trouten to repeat last season's ridiculous goal tally. He and Nathan Austin should give them enough firepower but neither the defence nor midfield look of League One standard (as it stands, their only goalkeeper is youth product Matty Rollo, who made his debut in the League Cup groups). They need reinforcements if they are to show they belong here.

STENHOUSEMUIR did remarkably well to make the promotion playoffs last season but admitted afterward that their finances had sailed rather too close to the wind for comfort. The exit of Blair Alston is probably a sign they are cutting their cloth. Striker Matty Yates has also gone (though his expected move to Accies fell through and he's still a free agent) and most of their signings are short-term ones to deal with an injury crisis. Finlay Gray looks like a great addition from Dumbarton and boosts a midfield area that is probably still a strength, and Gregor Buchanan and Ross Meechan provide experience at the back. However they look very unlikely to challenge for top four again.

ALLOA ATHLETIC just missed out on that fourth spot and there was perhaps a feeling that Andy Graham's side underachieved a little last season. With the exception of loan keeper Liam McFarlane most of their newcomers feel like depth pieces though medical student midfielder Andy Clarke looks worth taking a punt on. They'll need McFarlane to prove an adequate replacement for PJ Morrison between the sticks, but otherwise the backbone of last season's team is still here and still looks strong. I don't think League Cup form holds much weight but the Wasps were very, very good in the group stage.

Last season was quite a turbulent one for KELTY HEARTS, who lost manager Michael Tidser to Dunfermline and then endured a nightmare period under Charlie Mulgrew. Tam O'Ware took the reins after Mulgrew's exit and kept them out of a relegation playoff; he was rewarded with the gig permanently and has only retained nine players. If he can gel the newbies quickly, he could be rewarded; midfielders Innes Murray and Alex Ferguson look like particularly smart acquisitions. But top scorer Ross Cunningham is away and they're looking to former Stirling forward James Graham for goals.

And finally MONTROSE are heading for their eighth consecutive season at this level, which is some job. It does seem to be getting gradually tougher for Stewart Petrie's side though. Keeping Kieran Freeman and Craig Wighton permanently after loan spells will help, and Ewan Loudon scored a lot of goals in the Highland League last season. And the defence, marshalled by 42 year old Sean Dillon, isn't short of experience. But they're another team who could do with bringing in a few loans if they are to avoid a relegation scrap.

So here's my (inevitably wrong) predicted table:

1. QUEEN OF THE SOUTH

2. INVERNESS CALEDONIAN THISTLE

3. COVE RANGERS

4. PETERHEAD

5. ALLOA ATHLETIC

6. KELTY HEARTS

7. STENHOUSEMUIR

8. MONTROSE

9. EAST FIFE

10. HAMILTON ACADEMICAL

Lawrie Spence has whinged about Scottish football on Narey's Toepoker since September 2007. He has a life outside this blog. Honestly.

2025/26 Scottish League Two preview

Lessons I've learned from the League Two previews I've done in the past (many of which have been extremely, spectacularly wrong):

- Do not pay much attention to the League Cup group results. They tend not to be a good indicator of what's coming.

- If there is a team that is pretty well bankrolled, put them near the top as they will either romp it or, if they don't, they will sack their manager and/or bring in loads of players in January and then romp it.

- The weakest team right now is not actually all that likely to come bottom, as they will also sack their manager and/or bring in loads of players in January and then turn it around. The team that finishes bottom will probably be the seventh or eighth best right now, but will be overtaken by a few sides that panic sufficiently early to get out of danger.

There is a little extra spanner in the works this year: DUMBARTON start with a five point penalty following their administration in League One last season. That doesn't sound like much, but a six point deduction was the difference between Bonnyrigg Rose staying up and going down last time out. It's a new beginning for the Sons, on the pitch as well as off; pretty much none of their best performers from last year remain and manager Stevie Farrell has had to mostly build a new team. While centre-backs Mark Durnan and Morgyn Neill give them a solid backbone, they will be heavily dependent on veterans Leighton McIntosh and Ally Roy for goals and probably need some of their many loan players to shine if they are going to avoid a fight at the bottom.

I also fear for the other side relegated from League One, ANNAN ATHLETIC. Star striker Tommy Goss is set to leave after an alleged fallout with player-boss Wullie Gibson, while potential replacement Joel Mumbongo picked up a serious knee injury on his debut. Aidan Smith is probably good for double-figures and that will be crucial, while Paul McGowan and Paul Smith add a bit of midfield nous. I can see them starting badly, punting Gibson and then hauling themselves out of trouble but I'm not sure they have the budget to make wholesale changes if they are in danger.

Having only avoided the relegation playoff via goal difference, FORFAR ATHLETIC need to improve, and while Lewis Martin and Jake Dolzanski should strengthen the defence their problem in recent years has very much been at the other end of the park. New boys Martin Rennie and Scott Shepherd will be relied on heavily for goals, and their ability to deliver will be the difference between them climbing the table and not.

STRANRAER were always near the bottom last season and it could well be the same again for them. Manager Chris Aitken has turned over the squad (thirteen signings so far) but he's relying on a lot of lower league players to make the step up. He's done well to get winger James Dolan back after a year away studying in Spain, and signing defender Lewis Reid permanently from Queen's Park is actually a bit of a coup.

Moving to the business end of the table, EAST KILBRIDE are the newly promoted side but are also the ones who could be described as 'bankrolled' so I'd make them favourites. They've considerably reinforced the team that won the Lowland League with Rhys Breen and Magnus MacKenzie added to the backline and Ouzy See joining the attack. John Robertson is a solid bet to be League Two's top scorer this season.

Curiously EK signed two players and then punted them in a matter of days; one is striker Josh O'Connor (son of Scotland international Garry) who looks like quite the star signing for ELGIN CITY. Elgin made the promotion playoffs last season and have added keeper Tom Ritchie, defender Connall Ewan and midfielder Miko Virtanen as well which is not too shabby. They have lost the flair of Dujon Golding though. City's target will be to remain in that top four.

EK also let Mouhamed Niang go and he should add a bit of steel to the CLYDE midfield. After a couple of seasons that go into the "bad start, sack manager, sign lots of players, turn it around" category they will look to continue their steady improvement under Darren Young. Guys like full-back Tommy Robson and striker Scott Williamson are probably better than this level and the Niang-Andy Murdoch pairing in the centre of the park is very strong. However captain Lee Hamilton left and they are banking on Sam Campbell, signed from East Stirling, making the step up to replace him in central defence.

EDINBURGH CITY were probably 2024-25's surprise package with Michael McIndoe impressing as manager. Their weakness still seems to be their small squad and the resultant lack of depth. If they can avoid injuries they will be dangerous. Aside from keeping Malik Zaid permanently after a successful loan, McIndoe has had to dip into the lower leagues again to augment the squad (though that worked pretty well for them last year). They did struggle to replace Connor Young's goals after his January exit and have lost Ouzy See too, so they'll need Innes Lawson and James Stokes to continue to contribute heavily from midfield.

As ever, THE SPARTANS resisted making wholesale changes as they go into their fourteenth season under Dougie Samuel. They've convinced Sean Welsh to drop down to League Two and kept defender Bailey Dall on a permanent deal. Crucially Blair Henderson and Cammy Russell are as reliable as any front pairing at this level and so they will have aspirations of finishing higher than last year's fifth spot.

And finally STIRLING ALBION seemed to spend the entirety of last season in mid-table. They'll be hoping new attackers Ross Cunningham and Russell McLean can move them up, while they did well to attract defender Lee Hamilton from Clyde. However the bulk of the squad have been around for the last few seasons and it's possible that they have reached their ceiling under Alan Maybury.

So my (inevitably wrong) predicted table:

1. EAST KILBRIDE

2. THE SPARTANS

3. ELGIN CITY

4. EDINBURGH CITY

5. CLYDE

6. STIRLING ALBION

7. FORFAR ATHLETIC

8. STRANRAER

9. DUMBARTON

10. ANNAN ATHLETIC

Lawrie Spence has whinged about Scottish football on Narey's Toepoker since September 2007. He has a life outside this blog. Honestly.